The world has been unsure as to the intentions of the Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Ukrainian issue. However, this may have been seen as pretty reasonable until now given that in the last month or two he has not had sufficient grounds on which to base an invasion of their neighbouring Ukrain. However, recent events near the border towns in which scores of Russians were massacred in a building fire that was likely lit by their Ukrainian foes is now being seen as a potential clear cut pretext for invasion. In addition to the fire, Ukrainian troops have been encircling to seal the area where the pro-russian protestors are active and they stand to lose more lives to the hands of Ukraine.
In addition to killing the Russian protesters, the pro-kiev fighters are also known as ‘extreme’ types, perhaps even fascists who are in cahoots with the Kiev government.
While this was all going on, Kiev has been sending clear messages to Putin that it does not care about Putin’s or the Kremlins wishes. It has barely sat down to discuss the issues with Putin and is frankly ignoring his requests. Instead they have decided to forge ahead with a renewed battle against the pro-Russian protestors.
It appears therefore, that for one of the first times in a long time in this stoush that the overall feud seems to be making advancements and developments rather than more of a stalemate.
Again, it is difficult to work out what Putin’s next moves will be. However, it is clear that the time is now should he decide to use the 40,000 troops he has stationed just on the border.
On the other hand, he may also decide to continue with his non-violent action. That is, to stay put and not react in a violent way. That could send a message to the world about just how despotic and violent the American backed Kiev government is. It may shed negative light upon, obviously Kiev but through them, the US and Nato who directly back, fund, train and give diplomatic support to in their ongoing resistance against the Kremlin.
Over the weeks, there have been low scale operations that the Russians have played a hand in. This has included assisting the pro-Russian fighters inside Ukrain to capture areas such as Slavynsk.
This tactic of just fighting the battle from a distance means Russia cannot be seen as directly involving itself in a full scale war with the Kiev country. This latter scenario would give the US and its backers more justification to really target Russias economic situation through massive sanctions.
Rather than make it obvious for his foe to fight back at him, he appears to be wanting to just keep them all off kilter while all the little villages that contain a large Russian population move toward supporting him and becoming basically aligned with Russia. Let us not forget, that economically these areas have agreed to be part of Russia again. Their shops are using Russian money and everything.
Should Putin decide to fight directly in the turf of Ukraine it will then be more obvious what his intent is. For now we will just need to wait and see what unfolds.