Guns ready, fire!
Little reported in the British media is the fact that the European Union is currently mobilising for a naval expedition in the Gulf of Aden. In the last few years, this region has suffered ever more from pirate activity, with significant infestations along Somalia’s eastern coast. But as a report by Chatham House recently indicated, the pirate attacks have moved onto a higher plane since 2007, both spatially and functionally. On a spatial level, they have moved further north, into the Gulf of Aden; this means they are now encroaching on the world’s foremost shipping route, between the European Union and the Middle East, South Asia and East Asia. And on a functional level, the pirates have become more aggressive, readily using rocket-propelled grenades and heavy machine guns to assault their victims. They are also demanding ever larger ransoms for the release of their hostages, and for captured goods or ships.The French military has already mounted operations against the pirates on at least two occasions, and the number of naval vessels in the region has steadily grown since the start of the year. American, Russian and Indian gunboats have been sent, and a maritime patrol area has been set up by Task Force 150, comprised of vessels from the Atlantic Alliance. Yet the attacks have continued, culminating in the pirates’ seizure of a Ukrainian vessel in late September, with over thirty battle tanks on board.
The security situation has deteriorated to such an extent that shipping corporations have threatened to send their vessels all the way around Africa via the Cape of Good Hope, adding another 6,000 kilometres to the journey—with significant increases to the price of goods and pollution. And there are lots of ships passing through the Gulf of Aden, on their long voyage through the Red Sea, the Suez Canal and the Mediterranean Sea until they reach the English Channel ports, such as Rotterdam, Le Havre, Southampton and Felixtowe. Indeed, this is the world’s busiest maritime line of communication, linking 495 million Europeans with 3.5 billion Asians. The shipping route carries approximately one fifth of the European Union’s energy requirements, and almost half of our cargo trade.
Map of the Gulf of Aden
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It is in this context that we can understand the European Union naval activities off the Horn of Africa. The Council of the European Union agreed on 15th September 2008 to establish EU NAVCO, a naval coordination unit set up four days later to synchronise the Member States’ already-deployed assets and enable their working together with merchant ships using the region. This is headed by Captain de Navío Andrés A. Breijo Claúr, an officer from the Spanish Armada.
However, further in the works is the European Union’s first ever naval expedition, which will be led by the British warship, HMS Northumberland. This is a Type 23 frigate, armed with powerful guns, missiles, attack helicopters and equipped with sophisticated sensors and arrays. As the Western Morning News reported, this will serve as the command ship for a European Union expeditionary fleet comprised of British, French, German, Italian and Spanish ships—perhaps with further contributions from other Member States. The flotilla will be commanded by Vice-Admiral Philip Jones at Britain’s Permanent Joint Headquarters in Northwood, near London. After some apprehension about Britain’s willingness to take part in European Union military operations, this shows that the British are ready to step-up and do what is right, leading what is perhaps the most significant European operation to date.
Why? Because although this expedition will provide greater protection to food shipments and other aid bound for Somalia, it also has a less-altruistic motivation: the defence of the main west-east shipping line, carrying most of our maritime cargo and energy imports to the European Union. Previous European military operations were for primarily humanitarian considerations, such as the small European interventions in Congo, or the moderately-sized—and ongoing—intervention to help alleviate the ‘spillover’ from the ethnic cleansing in Darfur, which is harming Chad.
Some politicians at the European Parliament have already realised this difference. First, the British conservative MEP, Geoffrey van Orden, called the operation ‘military nonsense’, stating—quite wrongly—that it would jeopardise the Atlantic Alliance. The trouble here is that NATO is already hard pressed with efforts in Afghanistan, and the United States still has its work cut out in Iraq, as well as with deterring Iranian aggression in the Persian Gulf, and China from annexing Taiwan. It just makes sense for Europeans to share more of the burden, particularly on their own shipping route.
Second, Ana Maria Gomes, a Portuguese socialist MEP, said she had a ‘moral problem’ with the naval expeditionary flotilla, which was only for ‘protecting oil tankers’. Really?! One can only wonder what Ms. Gomes will tell her constituents if their heating goes off, or if there is no petrol at the petrol pumps? Or if the electricity stops working? Or if patients in our hospitals must be sent home because there is no fuel for the boiler? Quite simply, if not for protecting our trade routes, what else is naval power for?! An economy such as ours—heavily dependent on oil—makes it our foremost priority to protect European oil tankers. When necessary, we must remain willing to use decisive military force to secure the European interest; indeed, our economic productivity and social security depends on it.

8 comments:
Hurrah! Annihilate the enemy
I have a slight moral problem with pirates on a rampage, taking crews hostage and extorting huge ransoms, long before the lights go out in Portugal or anywhere else in Europe.
We need a new Pompeius.
Mrs. Ana Gomes is seen as a maverick by her own political party PS (Socialist Party) here in Portugal. The Portuguese socialist party under Socrates is as socialist as Labour was under Blair. But an uncompromising left wing remains inside the party, albeit rather on its fringes. Mrs. Ana Gomes, a moral militant against the evils of "american anarco-capitalism", unable to find a suitable place for her in Portugal, went to Brussels instead, were she found a more glamorous stage for her healthy dose of righteous finger pointing.
We need a news Pompeius, nice one. But maybe Britain has to rethink its policy concerning pirates: As I am informed, British warships are actualy supposed to give seized pirates a chance for asylum, if they demand so.
It also should not be forgotten, that oil is much more then energy. The petrochemical industry reprocesses large parts of raw-oil and turns it into hundreds or thousands of other products which are then used in medicine, beauty products, plastics, chemicals etc. A multi-billion Euro industry.
I watched a few weeks ago (I think it was on France24, though not sure anymore) an interview with a Somali pirate. He claimed that international shipping is destroying their fishing grounds, so that they would have no choice, as there are no other means to earn a living.
Let aside his claim, which I cannot comment on, I couldn't help it, but Malthus and Heinsohn came to my mind. Malthus claimed that food production and population growth couldn't keep growing at the same pace over time. Of course he couldn't predict the amazing scientific achievements and the decline of population growth in some parts of the world. But what about places like Somalia (and most of its neighbours for that matter)?
I some times find it hard to think of a stable Africa with a continuing growth at more then 3%, that means the population doubles every generation, or more. Apparently Ethiopia is suffering again a bigger then usual famine. On the BBC they made comparisons to the big famine of the 70s. But since then Ethiopia's population has grown 3-4 times.
Heinsohn cam up with the idea of "Youth Bulge", where he claims, that in families with more then two sons, the third, forth and fifth son wouldn't be able to find a job, as the earlier brothers would fill existing positions in the economy. Thus, many young people would grow frustrated, become easier targets for militant and revolutionary ideologies (e.g. militant Islam) and resort to violence to get what they see as their fair share.
I really don't know how much of their ideas actually apply to the real world. I have gone over their ideas at university for a short while.
And I also don't know what the solution should be. I don't see that West has a moral right to demand lower population growth, or linking such demands to development aid. But it appears to me, that this is an other "bubble" about to burst and there is not much what the world can do.
James, how about a post concerning the financial crises? Do you think it will bring Europe more together or will the EU eventually fall, as one can read over and over again in British newspapers?
Although Merkel is awfully quiet and the initial German move, when they refused a common solution was a bit of a disappointment, but today I saw Brown referring to Sarkozy as "Nicolas and I", which sounds more of a common approach.
And what about the Euro? Again, one can read these days in British newspapers doom predictions, that the Euro is a bad idea, and that it would eventually fall.
But what I saw, is that the Euro area is more sound than other European states. Many eastern European currencies were massively devalued, not to speak of Iceland. Iceland actualy thinks of a rapid entry into the EU. So much for EU bashing.
Cheers
James,
As always a well thought out and interesting article, however I must point out a few things;
Firstly HMS Northumberland is part of the NATO task force to combat piracy in the region and not the EU one.
Secondly the UK has agreed to command the EU task group, but has not committed any ships. (although interestingly Norway a non-EU member has pledge a ship to the group)
Thirdly I understand (to an extent) the point that MEP Geoffrey van Orden has made. Yes he called it 'military nonsense' but he called it military nonsense to send an EU task force when a NATO task force was already en-route.
Finally I agree with what you say in that it makes sense for European nations to take a bigger share of the burden (excluding the UK and Denmark who are both heavily committed anyway) However it most instances it would make more sense to commit those additional resources to NATO.
After all ask your-self why is it necessary to have two flotilla's sent to Africa - one EU and one NATO - with 2 separate command structures, possibly 2 separate rules of engagement etc. and all the additional costs associated with such a venture. Would it not have been easier to send one larger NATO task force? After all the countries participating in the EU force (including non-EU member Norway) are all members of NATO anyway!
Anyway as always keep it up.
Regards
Wren
Hello Wren: Thanks for the post. You are (now) right about HMS Northumberland, although my article was written quite some time ago before everything was finalised. At the time, the media were reporting that London had pledged to send the warship to assist.
The European Union operation was announced before the NATO task force was proposed. So it is NATO who are at fault here, trying to compete with the European operation. NATO knew the European Union was preparing this operation, so everything you have just said applies to NATO, not the European Union!
And in any case, as the United States re-orients its military posture in the years ahead to deal with China's emergence, NATO will become less relevant. Here, the European Union has to begin planning for the future, and naval operations will presumably be part of that future, given our geopolitical orientation, etc. We Europeans must learn to look after ourselves, rather than depending on the United States all the time!
James.
Hi James,
I do understand your points - however some fact speak for them selves.
Firstly, I stand corrected, the EU did announce it's anti-piracy plan earlier than NATO (the 2nd October compared to the 9th for NATO)
Secondly HMS Northumberland was already committed to Standing NATO Maritime Group 2 (SNMG2) and was due to take part in visiting various ports in the Middle East and Africa, after the seizure of the Ukrainian vessel the UN requested NATO's assistance in the area to escort World Food Program ships - as you are aware NATO responded and indeed increased SNMG2's remit to a full anti-piracy task force.
My main point is the EU could have acted within NATO, we should not look at NATO as 'relying on the Americans' but rather work with it, after all NATO has been the corner stone of European and North American defence for over 50 years.
The argument over NATO vs EU defence or the US vs EU as Britain's future defence partners is not one I will get into here (I'm sure one or the other of us will write an article in the future where we can argue this point) However it is one of whether the NATO task force en-route (and now in place and active) should have been re-enforced by EU nations partaking as part of NATO or as is the case a second task force being dispatched under a different flag, rules of engagement and command structure.
One last point is that the EU task force though agreed in early October will not LEAVE for the region until early December.
Wren
Dear Wren: Apologies for not responding sooner, but I have been busy with some reports. It seems though that since my last response, HMS Northumberland has been taking part in the E.U. naval flotilla. According to the European Union's website, it completed the first part of the mission on 18th December.
I will write about NATO and E.U. defence at some point soon. All I will say here is that as the U.S. continues to redeploy its forces as part of the long-running Global Posture Review, and as Asia (particularly China) rises to challenge U.S. maritime power, the U.S. will become less interested in NATO and more interested in its East Asian allies—not least Japan. Europeans—and Britain included—must therefore begin thinking about defending our interests without such comprehensive U.S. support.
This does not mean I do not support a strong Atlantic Alliance, because I really do. But, depending on future circumstances, the Atlantic Alliance will not be served by clinging tenaciously to a Cold War era framework, but rather by providing the means to tend our own garden, namely the European Neighbourhood, North Africa, and the Indian Ocean basin. It will be the E.U., not NATO that will help us to do that.
The U.S. could then take care of East and Southeast Asia, freeing up its power and resources for use there, where some really significant threats might loom over the coming years.
James.
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