Thursday, 23 April 2009

Power and values in European foreign policy


In democratic societies, we often like to think that we use our power for a higher purpose—like making the world a better place. Indeed, this has been an overriding principle of foreign policy for many of the most powerful western societies since the early nineteenth century. Policies aimed at fighting piracy, ending slavery, frustrating the schemes of dictatorships, and supporting democratic leaders, have a long and noble history. American presidents Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman, Jonh F. Kennedy, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush, to varying degrees, all subscribed to the idea. British leaders, like George Canning, Viscount Palmserston, William Gladstone, Winston Churchill and Margaret Thatcher also thought the idea of an enlightened foreign policy was worth more than a pinch of salt. Tony Blair, the erstwhile British prime minister, possibly took the idea to its logical conclusion. As he told the U.S. Congress:

The spread of freedom is the best security for the free. It is our last line of defence and our first line of attack.

A values-based foreign policy has also been at the core of the enterprise of European unification. As early as 1941, one of the grand architects of European integration, Altiero Spinelli, argued in the Ventotene Declaration that a state cannot ignore the political constitution of its neighbours. And the more recent European Security Strategy even uses the phrase ‘A Secure Europe in a better world’ in its subtitle, as if the two automatically run together.

There is certainly a lot of evidence to support the so-called ‘democratic peace theory’. It is the closest thing that we have to an ‘iron law’ in the study of international relations. That is to say, democracies tend not to go to war with one another; no mature democratic state has ever attacked another; and lesser political conflict between democracies is less frequent. In short, the assumption follows that in order to make the world safe for our way of life, we must assertively spread our values as far and wide as we can.

But is this necessarily the case? Can a political community only be safer if the world itself is a better, liberal and more democratic place? Nicholas Spykman, one of my favourite geostrategists, suggests that this liberal approach is wrong. According to him, democracy and moral values do not ultimately matter when statesmen craft and execute foreign policy. Instead, what really matters is power—relative power. This is what he had to say in his magnum opus, America’s Strategy in World Politics, back in 1941:

The statesman who conducts foreign policy can concern himself with values of justice, fairness, and tolerance only to the extent that they contribute to or do not interfere with the power objective. They can be used instrumentally as moral justification for the power quest, but they must be discarded the moment their application brings weakness. The search for power is not made for the achievement of moral values; moral values are used to facilitate the attainment of power.

Let us be clear: Prof. Spykman is not arguing that statesmen should no longer try and make the international system less volatile. He is also not saying that democratic countries should not try to spread their advanced way of life abroad. Nor is he suggesting that governments should not provide aid or military assistance to other countries during times of conflict, tension or natural disaster or manmade difficulty. What he is saying, however, is that statesmen should pursue certain values and principles only if they do not damage the power and position of their own respective political community. States should therefore seek to acquire more power over other states, rather than attempting to diffuse their values overseas. This is because values, unless undergirded with power—like a strong military—cannot be protected if an adversary seeks to usurp them.

We Europeans would do well to bear this in mind today. Some of us are often too keen to forget how important military power actually is—and will remain for the foreseeable future. The current financial crisis may encourage many European governments to cut military spending even further, with the active support of the European people. But what will we do if a predatory regime emerges over the horizon? Point to ‘European values’ and issue a statement—and ask the nasty regime to be nice? In such an instance, as many societies have discovered previously, relying only on one’s values could turn out to be a house of cards.
 

7 comments:

rz said...

I agree with you that we should keep military spending on a level comparable to our competitors.However if I look at the actual numbers I see that we outspend all competitors (China, Russia et. al.)
combined by a factor of two. I used the numbers from Wikipedia. This might not be totally reliable, but I think the overall point still stands. Additionally our closest ally, the US, spends about as much as the rest of the world combined, then there is Japan which again spends al lot.

If the EU where to cut its defense spending to 1% of GDP we still would outspend all competitors combined. And clearly our adversaries do not form a united front. So we could drop our spending even further and still be competitive.

James Rogers said...

Hi RZ: Yes, that’s all very well, but it’s not as simple as that. The other major powers are still increasing their military spending, and will eclipse Europeans, perhaps within a decade. What’s more, given that countries like Russia, China and India are able to spend less and get more (due to purchasing power parity), they are already in effect spending more than the major European powers (Britain and France). We need to spend better but we also need to spend more.

rz said...

Aha! I knew that you would argue with Purchasing Parity! But enough exclamation marks!

For a while I agreed with the notion that the western world needs significantly higher military spending because if we use PP China and Russia spend much more than what the simple dollar amount tells us. However, after skimming shortly over the Wikpedia entry on the issue (which clearly gives me the license to pontificate about it), I think that the use of PP when it comes to military procurement is highly questionable. PP is calculate using a price of a basket of consumer goods like food and haircuts (and Big Macs). The purpose of PP is to estimate the living standards in a particular country. It is a better estimate than simply taking GDP per capita because it is not fluctuating with the exchange rate.

That said, there is no reason to assume that military equipment follows the same pattern. China might find it easier to pay for its 1.6 million man ground force, but for tanks, helicopters, etc, labor costs are negligible*.

To return to the main point: We have to be more efficient in our defense spending, but a least for now there is nothing to worry about.

*I have actually no idea what the labor cost are, when it comes to building a tank. But obviously my argument becomes significantly weaker if the labor costs matter.

James Rogers said...

And I had a suspicion that you would respond!

You’re right about the PPP terms being questionable—they are—but clearly, there is something to them. Britain and France are the second and fourth largest military spenders in the world according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (using nominal figures), but they could not maintain a military the size of China or India’s. It is hard to ascertain the exact figures, but a British Type 45 destroyer at €1.2 billion a piece costs vastly more than its Chinese or Indian (near-)equivalent (e.g. a Type 052B/C class or Kolkata class destroyer) at roughly €260 million each. The same applies to warplanes, armour and tanks, right through the inventory of military equipment.

There is a need to maintain an absolute as well as a relative lead over our rivals. In short, we cannot be ‘too strong’—within reason, the bigger, the better.

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Seamus said...

I agree, nice peice.

ernobius said...

I agree too. Your writings are very good, I can't wait for the next one.